Hej bloggen,
Filippo Ganna’s sejre som pro:
ITT, ITT, ITT, ITT, ITT, ITT, ITT, 3-stjernet-bjergetape.
Team SKY, mine damer og manne. Team SKY.
Luske gider ikke engang hidse sig op over det. Eller. Selvfølgelig gør han det. Han fucking hader SKY. Hvad fucking helvede sker der!? Man vidste bare, da top-mutanten udgik, at resten ville være radioaktive. Tjernobyl hele vejen til Milano. Fucking hell.
Altså. Du skal krafthelvede ikke være Orakel for at se, at der er noget galt der. Få nu gang i ham Freeman. Så vi kan få lukket lortet. Luske kan anbefale waterboarding. Eller flussyre. Sæt i gang.
Videre.
Dagens etape
Ligner umiddelbart noget puncheur-værk. Noget for typer med hang til podiepiger. Eller. Det er vel egentlig en sprinteretape. Bare ikke for de “rene” sprintere. Afslutningen er hidsig. Finalen starter formentlig allerede på Millotta. Det skal den, hvis de vil af med sprinterne.
Det helt store spørgsmål er selvfølgelig, om Démare kan sidde med. Han har ni sejre i indeværende sæson. Verdens bedste sprinter. Stille og roligt. Ingen af dem har dog været på afslutninger som dagens. Luske hælder sgu mest til, at den er for hård.
Hvis de ikke kommer af med de rene sprintere på kat-3-stigningen, så gør de det med 2.750 meter til mål. Her stiger den med små 10% i starten og 6,3% i snit. Møg hidsigt. Og hvis vejrudsigten, for en fucking gangs skyld holder stik, så går der fuld Mai Manniche i den. Havnen-i-Beirut, Manne. Død og fucking ødelæggelse. Rent vindmæssigt.
Lad os kigge på det.
Vind og vejr og det der (41 km/t):
☀️ Castrovillari (start) – 11.40 – 19° – 0 m/s
☀️ San Severino Lucano (spurt) – 13.28 – 16° – 0 m/s
☀️ Craco-Peschiera (spurt) – 15.04 – 20° – 1 m/s
☀️ Galleria Millotta (kat-3)/Pomarico – 15.50 – 20° – 7 m/s (N/NV)
☀️ Matera (mål) – 16.26 – 20° – 7 m/s (N/NV)
Modvind hele dagen. Ikke optimalt for lykkeriddere eller fucking selvlysende tempobjergrytterspecialister.
Vinden skulle slå om i N/NV lige omkring Millotta. Og det skulle blæse op. Ret kraftigt endda. Sker det, betyder det sidevind. Lad os lege med tanken om, at sprinterne bliver sat på stigningen. Og der går sidevind i lortet efter nedkørslen. Så kommer de krafthelvede ingen steder, Manne. Arrive-fucking-derci.
Anyways.
Ikke mere dillerdaller. Dillerdaller er for vindere. Og vi er bagud. Fucking SKY.
Luskes dick picks:
⭐️⭐️⭐️ Ulissi, Matthews, Sagan
⭐️⭐️ Ballerini, Vendrame, Battaglin
⭐️ Démare, Clarke, Gaviria, Honoré
? Molano, Visconti, Narváez, Gallopin, Restrepo, Oldani, Guerreiro, Sobrero
Stakes:
??? – fuld skrald
?? – halv skrald
? – moderat skrald
Alle bets hos 365 herfra.
?? Ulissi @10
? Matthews @5.25
? Vendrame V/P @17
? Honoré V/P @51
Oddset på Sagan er simpelthen for lavt til, at det kan retfærdiggøres. Ja, han er favorit. På papiret. Det er 455 dage siden, han sidst vandt noget af betydning. Det var 5. etape af Touren. Faktisk hans eneste sejr af betydning hele sidste sæson. Det altså to år siden, han har været rigtig god. Som vi kender ham.
Luske satser på, at Ulissi gentager succesen fra Agrigento og vinder lortet.
Vendrame blev 13 i Agrigento og 4’er i Villafranca. Han kan både klatre og sprinte. Det nogle vil kalde en puncheur.
Og Honoré ser bare stærk ud. Plus at finalen køres inden for 3-kilometer-mærket. Ingen Almeida-duty der. Afsted!
God spiller, Manne. ??
In-play-kandidater:
Følg med ?? https://www.facebook.com/Luskador/
Luskes Tour Tips, odds before sluts.
– Luske 
??
Husk! Du kan købe adgang til enkelt-etaper under hele Giroen. Det koster 50 kr. pr. etape og foregår som følger ??
Tilmelding:
1. Send etapenummer, navn og telefonnummer til luske@luskestourtips.dk – f.eks. “7 (for syvende etape), Henning Hummus, 12345678“.
2. Betal MobilePay-anmodningen.
3. Modtag SMS med din personlige adgangskode, du skal bruge for at tilgå de lukkede LTT+ indlæg.
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